Update, October 12, 2013, at 8:19 a.m. Eastern: Nothing is ever easy in meteorology. This morning, the area of interest has moved westward into a slightly and temporarily more favorable environment. It’s producing winds near tropical-storm force and overnight the National Hurricane Center experts gave it a high chance of developing, but this morning they have scaled that back to 50%.
It isn’t even a tropical depression yet, but it could possible turn into one, or even get named in the next day or two, before it loses support from the environment and fades away. In any case, steering currents will take it north out into the open ocean before it reaches any land.
This one’s easy. There’s a system off the coast of Africa that National Hurricane Center forecasters have been watching, but it’s running into unfavorable conditions now and hasn’t yet become even a tropical depression – there’s no future for that one.
Otherwise…nothing. Nada. Zip. Zilch. A very quiet period coming up, per the GFS. Yay!
The Atlantic hurricane season doesn’t end until November 30th, so it’s a bit too soon yet to fly off into the sunset above the Atlantic, grateful for a quiet season.
One can hope, though.