Tropical Atlantic Update

Today I started this post and then was surprised by the development of TS Fernand.

Anyway, the GFS computer model has shown something developing off the coast of Africa in about 6 days from today. However, that’s so far out in time, it’s still nothing but a highly educated guess.

Time will tell.

If something does develop and the steering winds remain as modeled, it may stay out to sea. Unless the Caribbean or Gulf have more surprises in store this week, that would be Gabrielle.

Jeff Masters has a more detailed and informed discussion of this here (scroll down).

The National Hurricane Center says:

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…NEAR 0 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS…AND A MEDUIM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.



Categories: Weather

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